What are the odds one of Iran's top goat rapists has correctly pegged us as a "sunset power"? Sadly, it's even money.
Get your wagers in soon, kiddies, because when CowardlyCuriousGeorge FlyingBushMonkey is gone all bets are off.
'The Last Helicopter'
By AMIR TAHERI in the Wall Street Journal
Hassan Abbasi has a dream -- a helicopter doing an arabesque in cloudy skies to avoid being shot at from the ground. On board are the last of the "fleeing Americans," forced out of the Dar al-Islam (The Abode of Islam) by "the Army of Muhammad." Presented by his friends as "The Dr. Kissinger of Islam," Mr. Abbasi is "professor of strategy" at the Islamic Republic's Revolutionary Guard Corps University and, according to Tehran sources, the principal foreign policy voice in President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's new radical administration.
For the past several weeks Mr. Abbasi has been addressing crowds of Guard and Baseej Mustadafin (Mobilization of the Dispossessed) officers in Tehran with a simple theme: The U.S. does not have the stomach for a long conflict and will soon revert to its traditional policy of "running away," leaving Afghanistan and Iraq, indeed the whole of the Middle East, to be reshaped by Iran and its regional allies.
That's a pretty safe bet, Hassan.
To hear Mr. Abbasi tell it the entire recent history of the U.S. could be narrated with the help of the image of "the last helicopter." It was that image in Saigon that concluded the Vietnam War under Gerald Ford. Jimmy Carter had five helicopters fleeing from the Iranian desert, leaving behind the charred corpses of eight American soldiers. Under Ronald Reagan the helicopters carried the bodies of 241 Marines murdered in their sleep in a Hezbollah suicide attack. Under the first President Bush, the helicopter flew from Safwan, in southern Iraq, with Gen. Norman Schwarzkopf aboard, leaving behind Saddam Hussein's generals, who could not believe why they had been allowed live to fight their domestic foes, and America, another day. Bill Clinton's helicopter was a Black Hawk, downed in Mogadishu and delivering 16 American soldiers into the hands of a murderous crowd.
According to this theory, President George W. Bush is an "aberration," a leader out of sync with his nation's character and no more than a brief nightmare for those who oppose the creation of an "American Middle East." Messrs. Abbasi and Ahmadinejad have concluded that there will be no helicopter as long as George W. Bush is in the White House. But they believe that whoever succeeds him, Democrat or Republican, will revive the helicopter image to extricate the U.S. from a complex situation that few Americans appear to understand.
Senator War Hero? He talks tough now, but he's playing to the Repansycan primary voters. Hitlery? Don't make me laugh.
Mr. Ahmadinejad's defiant rhetoric is based on a strategy known in Middle Eastern capitals as "waiting Bush out." "We are sure the U.S. will return to saner policies," says Manuchehr Motakki, Iran's new Foreign Minister.
Mr. Ahmadinejad believes that the world is heading for a clash of civilizations with the Middle East as the main battlefield. In that clash Iran will lead the Muslim world against the "Crusader-Zionist camp" led by America. Mr. Bush might have led the U.S. into "a brief moment of triumph." But the U.S. is a "sunset" (ofuli) power while Iran is a sunrise (tolu'ee) one and, once Mr. Bush is gone, a future president would admit defeat and order a retreat as all of Mr. Bush's predecessors have done since Jimmy Carter.
It seems almost everyone here (on both sides) have "misunderestimated" the perfidious Persians and the rest of those backward moslems.
Mr. Ahmadinejad also notes that Iran has just "reached the Mediterranean" thanks to its strong presence in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and the Palestinian territories. He used that message to convince Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to adopt a defiant position vis-à-vis the U.N. investigation of the murder of Rafiq Hariri, a former prime minister of Lebanon. His argument was that once Mr. Bush is gone, the U.N., too, will revert to its traditional lethargy. "They can pass resolutions until they are blue in the face," Mr. Ahmadinejad told a gathering of Hezbollah, Hamas and other radical Arab leaders in Tehran last month.
According to sources in Tehran and Damascus, Mr. Assad had pondered the option of "doing a Gadhafi" by toning down his regime's anti-American posture. Since last February, however, he has revived Syria's militant rhetoric and dismissed those who advocated a rapprochement with Washington. Iran has rewarded him with a set of cut-price oil, soft loans and grants totaling $1.2 billion. In response Syria has increased its support for terrorists going to fight in Iraq and revived its network of agents in Lebanon, in a bid to frustrate that country's democratic ambitions.
It is not only in Tehran and Damascus that the game of "waiting Bush out" is played with determination. In recent visits to several regional capitals, this writer was struck by the popularity of this new game from Islamabad to Rabat. The general assumption is that Mr. Bush's plan to help democratize the heartland of Islam is fading under an avalanche of partisan attacks inside the U.S. The effect of this assumption can be witnessed everywhere.
Funny how well the goat rapists know us, isn't it, kiddies?
In Pakistan, Pervez Musharraf has shelved his plan, forged under pressure from Washington, to foster a popular front to fight terrorism by lifting restrictions against the country's major political parties and allowing their exiled leaders to return. There is every indication that next year's elections will be choreographed to prevent the emergence of an effective opposition. In Afghanistan, Hamid Karzai, arguably the most pro-American leader in the region, is cautiously shaping his post-Bush strategy by courting Tehran and playing the Pushtun ethnic card against his rivals.
In Turkey, the "moderate" Islamist government of Recep Tayyip Erdogan is slowly but surely putting the democratization process into reverse gear. With the post-Bush era in mind, Mr. Erdogan has started a purge of the judiciary and a transfer of religious endowments to sections of the private sector controlled by his party's supporters. There are fears that next year's general election would not take place on a level playing field.
Even in Iraq the sentiment that the U.S. will not remain as committed as it has been under Mr. Bush is producing strange results. While Shiite politicians are rushing to Tehran to seek a reinsurance policy, some Sunni leaders are having second thoughts about their decision to join the democratization process. "What happens after Bush?" demands Salih al-Mutlak, a rising star of Iraqi Sunni leaders. The Iraqi Kurds have clearly decided to slow down all measures that would bind them closer to the Iraqi state. Again, they claim that they have to "take precautions in case the Americans run away."
There are more signs that the initial excitement created by Mr. Bush's democratization project may be on the wane. Saudi Arabia has put its national dialogue program on hold and has decided to focus on economic rather than political reform. In Bahrain, too, the political reform machine has been put into rear-gear, while in Qatar all talk of a new democratic constitution to set up a constitutional monarchy has subsided. In Jordan the security services are making a spectacular comeback, putting an end to a brief moment of hopes for reform. As for Egypt, Hosni Mubarak has decided to indefinitely postpone local elections, a clear sign that the Bush-inspired scenario is in trouble. Tunisia and Morocco, too, have joined the game by stopping much-advertised reform projects while Islamist radicals are regrouping and testing the waters at all levels.
But how valid is the assumption that Mr. Bush is an aberration and that his successor will "run away"? It was to find answers that this writer spent several days in the U.S., especially Washington and New York, meeting ordinary Americans and senior leaders, including potential presidential candidates from both parties. While Mr. Bush's approval ratings, now in free fall, and the increasingly bitter American debate on Iraq may lend some credence to the "helicopter" theory, I found no evidence that anyone in the American leadership elite supported a cut-and-run strategy.
Wow. Talk about naive. Mr. Taheri should have interviewed Poles, East Germans, Romanians, everyone in the former Soviet Union, everyone in the Balkans, everyone in the Baltic nations, Slave Chinese, Tibetans, North Koreans, Hungarians, Cubans, Czechs, Slovaks, South Vietnamese, Laotians, Cambodians, Taiwanese, Catholics of the northern part of Ireland, unborn children, and members of The Party of Blasphemy, Buggery, and 'Bortion to discover the depths of our commitment to the freedom of others.
The reason was that almost all realized that the 9/11 attacks have changed the way most Americans see the world and their own place in it. Running away from Saigon, the Iranian desert, Beirut, Safwan and Mogadishu was not hard to sell to the average American, because he was sure that the story would end there; the enemies left behind would not pursue their campaign within the U.S. itself. The enemies that America is now facing in the jihadist archipelago, however, are dedicated to the destruction of the U.S. as the world knows it today.
I would like to think my fellow countrymen have realized our two oceans no longer guarantee safety. I would like to think Americans know they are in a real war against real enemies, some of whom are stateless, some state sponsored, and some are indeed good old fashioned nation states.
I would also like to think I am going to win the Powerball jackpot tonight.
Those who have based their strategy on waiting Mr. Bush out may find to their cost that they have, once again, misread not only American politics but the realities of a world far more complex than it was even a decade ago. Mr. Bush may be a uniquely decisive, some might say reckless, leader. But a visitor to the U.S. soon finds out that he represents the American mood much more than the polls suggest.
Mood? Mr. Taheri seems to be under the impression our leaders care about what we think and want.
Silly Taheri.
Featured Post
It seems Pope Francis needs to brush up on his Tertullian!
It has been reported (in The ChristLast Media, I must note) that the current Pope does not like the phrase "lead us not into temptation...
"Let no freedom be allowed to novelty, because it is not fitting that any addition should be made to antiquity. Let not the clear faith and belief of our forefathers be fouled by any muddy admixture." -- Pope Sixtus III
Wednesday, April 05, 2006
Mr. Hassan Abbasi obviously was not educated in American schools. He actually seems to have some knowledge of history.
Posted by TheChurchMilitant at 2:20 PM
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- The Religion of Neodarwinism Update...
- Non-Euclidean Sex Update.
- Is part of King Goober II's legacy a bullet in Ron...
- The Theology of the Body: 81. Celibacy for the Kin...
- The Theology of the Body: 80. Celibacy Is a Partic...
- HOLY CRAP! Sobran eulogizes WFB; Bill, call your o...
- Fyodor's Headlinks.
- It's the economy, Stalin.
- The Theology of the Body: 79. The Value of Contine...
- Decent people would think this next one is also sa...
- Girls Gone Wild Released Back Into Civilization
- Your Grandpa Insists Someone You've Never Heard Of...
- Chalk one up for sanity and reality at the Univers...
- Super Bowl XL Champion Steelers Update.
- Speaking of wasted talent...
- Have pity on Whitney Houston.
- Allah is great, eh, you hoser.
- Religion of Peace and Love and Fratricide Update.
- The Cold War is truly over. (But the hot one here ...
- Maggie Dixon, Requiescat in pace.
- Today is the sixth Friday of Lent, a Day of Abstin...
- Saint of the Day and daily Mass readings.
- C'mon. You knew something like this was coming. It...
- Heehee!
- See if you can guess who wrote this.
- A sign of the times.
- Totalitarian Pennsylvania Update.
- My Genius Pennsylvania Neighbors Update.
- If girls ran the world...
- Ok, now it is getting a bit tiresome.
- Saint of the Day and daily Mass readings.
- Maybe, if we can all boo at the same time, he'll g...
- From The Get Your Kids Out Of The Government Schoo...
- Oy vey!
- The Theology of the Body: 78. Marriage and Contine...
- Mr. Hassan Abbasi obviously was not educated in Am...
- Washington's other newspaper intrudes upon Totalit...
- Black polygamous "Jewish" vegans from Chicago, cal...
- Israeli Crackup Update.
- The Neologism Fomerly Known as Hate Crime takes an...
- They don't call the city of San Francisco "New Sod...
- It Takes A Village To Staff A Gestapo Unit Update.
- It's nice to know The Clash can still touch people...
- As a matter of fact, we have NOT exacted enough re...
- Perfidious Persians Update.
- Paralyzed Veterans of America Awareness Week is Ap...
- Whatever happened to...
- Wow. And I thought our schools were in bad shape.
- Eeeeewwwwwww! Exactly how desperate for publicity ...
- Cynthia McKinney should wear a mouth grill to help...
- Saint of the Day and daily Mass readings.
- I know it is not nice to laugh at the mentally ill...
- Ben Franklin, call your office.
- Nina von Stauffenberg, Requiescat in pace.
- Actual rational thought about illegal immigration.
- It Takes A Village To Make A Propaganda Film Update.
- OLIVER STONE: 'MEDIA SLANDERS POLITICALLY-MINDED S...
- The "Christian" crackup continues apace.
- Mrs. Mozart's attorney, call your office.
- CYNTHIA MCKINNEY MUST DIE!
- Tom DeLay wimps out.
- One of the most important words in the secret lang...
- 24's Body Count Update.
- The Theology of the Body: 77. Superiority of Conti...
- Fyodor prepares to penetrate the heart of darkness...
- The ancient battle renewed: The Girlfriend versus ...
- A love affair renewed.
- With the help of Totalitarian Pennsylvania's holdo...
- From The Black Folks Don't Eat Mayonnaise Department:
- The Michael and Cathryn Borden Memorial Book of th...
- From The Death of Golf Department:
- Gettysburg's council votes to desecrate some of th...
- Saint of the Day and daily Mass readings.
- Truth and Justice For All Update.
- With the exception of words like God, freedom, dem...
- The academic crackup continues apace.
- From The "Eeewwwwww, George, Look What The Black L...
- Paul Verhoeven wouldn't know sexy if it crashed af...
- A rabbi and an imam walk into Radio Shack and ask ...
- The American Indian crackup continues apace.
- The Theology of the Body: 76. The Effective and Pr...
- Those folks on the Gulf Coast are our neighbors. Y...
- Saint of the Day and daily Mass readings.
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