From the Old Gray Whore:
Nicholas Kristof 'There's a Smell of Treason in The Air...
The
greatest political scandal in American history was not Aaron Burr’s
shooting of Alexander Hamilton, and perhaps wasn’t even Watergate.
Rather it may have been Richard Nixon’s secret efforts in 1968 to
sabotage a U.S. diplomatic effort to end the Vietnam War.
Nixon’s
initiative, long rumored but confirmed only a few months ago, was
meant to improve his election chances that year. After Nixon won, the
war dragged on and cost thousands of additional American and
Vietnamese lives; it’s hard to see his behavior as anything but
treason.
Now
the F.B.I. confirms that we have had an investigation underway for
eight months into whether another presidential campaign colluded with
a foreign power so as to win an election. To me, that, too, would
amount to treason.
I’ve
been speaking to intelligence experts, Americans and foreigners
alike, and they mostly (but not entirely) believe there was
Trump-Russia cooperation of some kind. But this is uncertain; it’s
prudent to note that James Clapper, the intelligence director under
Barack Obama, said that as of January he had seen no evidence of
collusion but that he favors an investigation to get to the bottom of
it.
I’m
also told (not by a Democrat!) that there’s a persuasive piece of
intelligence on ties between Russia and a member of the Trump team
that isn’t yet public.
The
most likely scenario for collusion seems fuzzier and less
transactional than many Democrats anticipate. A bit of conjecture:
The
Russians for years had influence over Donald Trump because of their
investments with him, and he was by nature inclined to admire
Vladimir Putin as a strongman ruler. Meanwhile, Trump had in his
orbit a number of people with Moscow ties, including Paul Manafort,
who practically bleeds borscht.
The
Associated Press reports that Manafort had secretly worked for a
Russian billionaire close to Putin, signing a $10-million-a-year
contract in 2006 to promote the interests of the Putin government.
The arrangement lasted at least until 2009.
As
The A.P. puts it, Manafort offered to “influence politics, business
dealings and news coverage inside the United States, Europe and the
former Soviet republics to benefit the Putin government.” (Manafort
told The A.P. that his work was being falsely portrayed as
nefarious.)
This
is guesswork, but it might have seemed natural for Trump aides to try
to milk Russian contacts for useful information about the Clinton
campaign. Likewise, the Russians despised Hillary Clinton and would
have been interested in milking American contacts for information
about how best to damage her chances.
At
some point, I suspect, members of the Trump team gained knowledge of
Russian hacking into Clinton emails, which would explain why Trump
friend Roger Stone tweeted things like “Trust me, it will soon the
Podesta’s time in the barrel.”
This
kind of soft collusion, evolving over the course of the campaign
without a clear quid pro quo, might also explain why there weren’t
greater efforts to hide the Trump team’s ties to Russia, or to
camouflage its softening of the Republican Party platform position
toward Moscow.
One
crucial unknown: Did Russia try to funnel money into Trump’s
campaign coffers? In European elections, Russia has regularly tried
to influence results by providing secret funds. I’m sure the F.B.I.
is looking into whether there were suspicious financial transfers.
The
contacts with Russia are by Trump’s aides, and the challenge will
be to connect any collusion to the president himself. The White House
is already distancing itself from Manafort, claiming that he played
only a “very limited role” in the campaign — even though he was
Trump’s campaign chairman!
Many
Democrats are, I think, too focused on Jeff Sessions and have too
transactional a view of what may have unfolded. Treason isn’t
necessarily spelled out as a quid pro quo, and it wasn’t when Nixon
tried to sink the Vietnam peace initiative in 1968.
In
the past, as when foreign funds made their way into Bill Clinton’s
1996 re-election campaign, Republicans showed intense interest in
foreign interference in the political process. So it’s sad to see
some Republicans (I mean you, Devin Nunes!) trying to hijack today’s
House investigation to make it about leaks.
Really?
Our country was attacked by Russia, and you’re obsessed with leaks?
Do you honestly think that the culprit in Watergate wasn’t Nixon
but the famed leaker Deep Throat? Republicans should replace Nunes as
head of the House Intelligence Committee; he can’t simultaneously
be Trump’s advocate and his investigator.
The
fundamental question now isn’t about Trump’s lies, or
intelligence leaks, or inadvertent collection of Trump
communications. Rather, the crucial question is as monumental as it
is simple: Was there treason?
We
don’t know yet what unfolded, and raw intelligence is often wrong.
But the issue cries out for a careful, public and bipartisan
investigation by an independent commission.
“There’s
a smell of treason in the air,” Douglas Brinkley, the historian,
told The Washington Post. He’s right, and we must dispel that
stench.
TheChurchMilitant: Sometimes anti-social, but always anti-fascist since 2005.
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