1) The guys who set the lines are professionals. Their job is to make each game look as attractive as possible to everyone. That way they even out the amount of money bet on each side.
Instant translation: The house wins no matter who wins. That's why people get into the gambling business.
2) I am just a fan. I won't even keep track of these picks week to week if it gets too embarrassing.
3) There is no such thing as "inside information". Especially in the pros.
4) If those idiot touts on tv and in the paper were any good, they wouldn't go public with their genius. They'd sit at Harrah's sports book from open to close and then go out and buy $2,000 an hour hookers who dress like high school girls.
5) Gambling is stupid. You cannot win.
That being said, here are my NFL picks for this week.
Sunday 1/21
NFC Championship Game
New Orleans (+3) at Chicago
The Saints have the better team. Chicago's D is a mere shadowof its former self and Rex Grossman is bad more often than not. If New Orleans can hold onto the ball in the cold Chicago wind (No pitchouts to the rookie RB, Coach!) they will win easily. Take New Orleans and the points.
FINAL: Bears 34 Saints 14 - Fyodor loses! (The Saints couldn't hold onto the ball, couldn't tackle, and couldn't cover anyone. But does it make sense to bet on Rex in the Super Bowl?)
AFC Championship Game
New England (+3) at Indianapolis
It is time for the Colts to step up and end the Patriots' dynasty. Manning outduels Brady in a wild one. Take the Colts to cover at home.
FINAL: Colts 38 Patriots 34 - Fyodor wins! (Behold! Dungy and Manning are now geniuses! Quick! Everyone hire a Melanin-American head coach!)
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